Population and education

11 June 2005

Ms. Rina Jimenez-David
Inquirer News Service

Dear Ms. Rina,

I read your article ("Back-to-school blues", PDI, June 8, 2005, p. A13) and I noticed some inaccuracies. I would like to highlight one of them here.

The papers you cited from the book "The Ties that Bid: Population and Development in the Philippines" seem to base their population projections to fertility rates alone. In my opinion, it is inaccurate to explain population growth solely on high fertility rates. Lower infant, maternal and adolescent mortality rates, brought about by improved health care, must also be considered. Thus, relating fertility levels, with the implication of reducing it, and the education scenario is purely hypothetical and cannot stand up to analysis.

Population, as a subject matter, is more complex than what these economists seem to think. In fact, it is a branch of science in itself, called "demography". Aside from mortality rates, demographers also factor-in the growing urbanization and the phenomena of rural-to-urban and international migrations. DepEd statistics will show that only in the congested cities there are shortages of teachers and classrooms. Schools in the rural areas enjoy adequate facilities and personnel.

The economists you quoted seem to subscribe to a widely-held idea in developed countries that birth control is the indispensable pre-condition for the "sustainable development" of poor countries. In my opinion, underdevelopment must not be attributed only to increase in population. "There are also other internal causes in developing countries. The low standards of living and the scarcity of food, even to the point of famine, can be the result of bad political and economic administration, often accompanied by corruption. To this must be added: ... the small amount set aside for education; ... glaring injustices in the allocation of revenues; the concentration of the means of production for the profit of a privileged group; ... the paralyzing burden of foreign debt accompanied by the flight of capital; the weight of certain negative cultural practices' unequal access to property; bureaucracies blocking initiative and innovation, etc." (Pontifical Council for the Family, "Ethical and Pastoral Dimensions of Population Trends", 1994, no. 18)

Many demographers think that "it would be difficult to find an example in history of a country which underwent a prolonged trend (more than 25 years) of falling population and enjoyed substantial economic development at the same time. It has even been shown that population growth has often preceded economic growth." (Pontifical Council for the Family, "Ethical and Pastoral Dimensions of Population Trends", 1994, no. 25)

I hope you do not mind my negative reaction to your article.